I had another disappointing week in College las week going 3-5-1 (37.5%), bringing my season total to 12-14-1 (46.2%). I followed my outstanding opening NFL week of 6-1 with another winning week at 4-3 (57.1%), bringing my season total to 10-4 (71.4%). I'm expecting to improve on my NCAA and continue my NFL success.

Week 4

NCAA

(1.) Texas A&M (+2.5) at Miami, FL (Thur.)

I just don't think this Miami team is that good. The offense has stuggled in the majority of all three games this season, two of which were Marshall and Florida International. The game is at the Orange Bowl which should keep it close, but I'll take the Aggies with the points.

Pick: Texas A&M by 6

Result: Miami, FL 34, Texas A&M 17 (Loss)

(2.) Florida Atlantic (-6.5) at North Texas

I like the way this Owls team looks and they might be the strongest contender to Troy in the Sun Belt. North Texas is a weak team and should struggle versus the much improved Owls team. Florida Atlantic had struggled the last few seasons and will not let this opportunity slip by.

Pick: Florida Atlantic by 15

Result: Florida ATL 30, North Texas 20 (Win)

(3.) UCLA (-6.5) v. Washington

I am a big fan of this UCLA teak who got steamrolled last week at Utah. I'm chalking that up as a fluke and look for the Bruins to bounce back this week at home against the Huskies. Washington is a much improved team, but after last week the Bruins will be fired up.

Pick: UCLA by 15

Result: UCLA 44, Washington 31 (Win)

(4.) Michigan (+3) v. Penn St.

The Wolverines own the Nittany Lions and I just get the feeling no matter how this game goes and whoever is playing QB the Wolverines will pull it out. Michigan may have gotten past their early season struggles with a destuction of Notre Dame. You have to love the Wolverines getting points at home in the Big Ten opener.

Pick: Michigan by 2

Result: Michigan 14, Penn St. 9 (Win)

(5.) Memphis (+7.5) at UCF

UCF is the talk of the town after winning at NC St. and giving Texas all they could handle last week. All the more reason to take the points with Memphis with UCF walking into a let down game. The Tigers will keep this close and cool off all the hype surrounding the Knights.

Pick: UCF by 3

Result: UCF 56, Memphis 20 (Loss)

(6.) Oklahoma St. (+6) v. Texas Tech

The Cowboys will perform much better this week in Stillwater after their poor showing last week versus Troy. Texas Tech rolled over horrible Rice and SMU teams and struggled versus a below average UTEP team at home. Playing the same theory as UCLA, the Cowboys will be fired up and the home crowd will keep them in it.

Pick: Texas Tech by 2

Result: Oklahoma St. 49, Texas Tech 45 (Win)

(7.) Troy (-10.5) at UL-Lafayette

Troy is the power of the Sun Belt. They hung with Arkansas early, scored some points on the Gators first string defense, and destoyed Oklahoma St. last week. LA-Lafayette is rebuilding and lost to a I-AA team last week. This one could get out of hand.

Pick: Troy by 22

Result: Troy 48, UL-Lafayette 31 (Win)

(Blowout of the Week) South Florida (-13.5)  v. North Carolina

Butch Davis will rebuild this Tar Heel team, but not this year. They lost at home to a weak Virginia team and too long to compete this season. I love the Bulls, my pre-season pick to win the Big East. I called the Bulls upset victory at Auburn two weeks ago and they'll look to take another BCS scalp this week. Raymond James Stadiun is a difficult place to play and with the Bulls just entering the Top 25 for the first time in school history they'll be flying all over the field.

Pick: USF by 25

Result: USF 37, UNC 10 (Win)

(Underdog Play of the Week) Temple (+21) at Bowling Green

Temple is a much improved team playing Navy tight in Week 1 and actually beat an improving Conneticut team on the road last week if not for a terrible call on the last play of the game. Bowling Green will be looking for revenge as Temple got their lone 2006 win versus BG. Temple will stick around in this one, but the Falcons will get the win.

Pick: Bowling Green by 12

Result: BG 48, Temple 35 (Win)

Other Games

  1. Toledo over Iowa St. by 5
  2. Michigan St. over Notre Dame by 3
  3. Akron over Kent St. by 2
  4. Utah over UNLV by 18
  5. GT over Virginia by 7
  6. Wyoming over Ohio by 6
  7. Arizona St. over Oregon St. by 7
  8. LSU over S Carolina by 28
  9. WF over Maryland by 5
  10. Wisconsin over Iowa by 12
  11. Clemson over NC St. by 12
  12. Nebraska over Ball St. by 15
  13. Cincinnati over Marshall by 34
  14. BC over Army by 38
  15. SJ St. over Utah St. by 1
  16. Illinois over Indiana by 2
  17. Ohio St. over NW by 30
  18. Navy over Duke by 9
  19. Cal over Arizona by 12
  20. TCU over SMU by 27
  21. Pitt over UConn by 7
  22. Houston over Colo St. by 5
  23. Buffalo over Baylor by 1
  24. Colorado over Miami, OH by 11
  25. WV over E Carolina by 30
  26. Kansas over FIU by 39
  27. BYU over Air Force by 13
  28. USC over Wash St. by 30
  29. Oregon over Stanford by 20
  30. Auburn over N Mex St. by 15
  31. Oklahoma over Tulsa by 20
  32. Idaho over N Illinois by 3
  33. Florida over Mississippi by 22
  34. Louisville over Syracuse by 35
  35. Purdue over Minnesota by 14
  36. Texas over Rice by 40
  37. Tennessee over Arkansas St. by 19
  38. Georgia over Alabama by 1
  39. Kentucky over Arkansas by 1

NFL

(1.) Kansas City (-2.5) v. Minnesota

Arrowhead is still a very difficult place to play and the Chiefs will be fired up for the home opener. The Vikings are excellent against the run, but have some questions in the secondary. The Chiefs offense is poor this season, but the crowd and defense will pull this one out. The Chiefs get standout DE Jared Allen back from suspension this week which will bring a huge life the defense. The Vikings are a terrible road team and QB T. Jackson has really struggled this season.

Pick: Chiefs by 4

Result: Chiefs 13, Minnesota 10 (Win)

(2.) Green Bay (+5) v. San Diego

I just get the feeling the football gods have cursed the Chargers for they way they handled their off-season coaching issues after a 14-2 season. The Packers have outstanding defense and are on a high now at 2-0. This is the type of game Favre is notorious for pulling out and the Chargers are down on themselves after the whipping they took in New England. This is a statement game for Packers and a message to the rest of the NFC.

Pick: Packers by 6

Result: Packers 31, San Diego 24 (Win)

(3.) San Francisco (+9) at Pittsburgh

You have to love the media. I called the Steelers to win the North and as one of the most underrated teams in the League. I won on the Steelers in Week 1 and 2, and now after beating two bads team many publications are putting them on par with the Patriots and Colts. Give me a break, the Steelers are a good team, but let's not jump the gun just yet. The Niners will stick around in this one with an improved defense and Gore running the ball.

Pick: Steelers by 4

Result: Steelers 37, 49ers 16 (Loss)

(Blowout of the Week) Baltimore (-8) v. Arizona

The Ravens play outstanding defense and are a stellar team at home. The Cardinals don't play well on the road and will have difficulty protecting Leinart. The Ravens will control the clock and force turnover in this game leading to the blowout.

Pick: Ravens by 17

Result: Ravens 26, Cardinals 23 (Loss)

(Upset Special) Atlanta (+4) v. Carolina

The Falcons always play the Panthers tough and should be fired up for the home opener. I think Harrington will play better with the recent signing of Leftwich. The Panthers have trouble running the ball and only have one weapon on offense. The Falcons will pull a surprise in this one with a ball control offense and solid defense.

Pick: Falcons by 4

Result: Panthers 27, Falcons 20 (Loss)

(Over 38) San Francisco at Pittsburgh

The Niners will put up some points on the board against a stingy Steelers defense. The Niners should contain Parker which will force Big Ben to put the ball in the air more, which could lead to some turnovers. I think this one will be much higher scoring than expected.

Result: 53 points---Steelers 37, 49ers 16 (Win)

(Over 35.5) Jacksonville at Denver

Denver can't stop the run and the Jags should get Jones-Drew and Taylor on track this week. Cutler and the Broncos will air it out versus a tough Jags run defense. This should be a competitve contest with both offenses playing better ball than the first two weeks.

Result: 37 points---Jaguars 23, Broncos 14 (Win)

Other Games:

  1. Tampa Bay over St. Louis by 4....the Bucs are tough at home and the Rams are falling apart
  2. Indianapolis over Houston by 11...without Johnson the Texans offense should suffer
  3. Denver over Jacksonville by 5....and entertianing game but the Broncos will take it at home
  4. Tennessee over New Orleans by 3....Young over Bush once again in Primetime
  5. Cleveland over Oakland by 6....Anderson and Lewis have another strong week
  6. Chicago over Dallas by 8....a preview of the NFC Title Game
  7. NY Giants over Washington by 7...Manning an Co. pull out a must win
  8. Seattle over Cincinnati by 4...Seattle is strong at home and the Bengals are too inconsistent
  9. NY Jets over Miami by 6....Cameron might be the worst coach in the NFL
  10. New England over Buffalo by 10...the Patroits will play vanilla in this one
  11. Philadelphia over Detroit by....the Eagles need this one and Detroit is overrated

Pick: Falcons by 6