Another big week in the NFL going 5-2 to bring my season record to 39-23-1 (62.9%). My NCAA game continues to lag after a 3-5-1 week dropping my season total to 44-42-4 (51.2%). I'm on fire in the NFL and look to continue my success this week and turn around my season in the College ball.
Week 11:
NCAA:
(1.) Ohio (-2.5) at Akron
Ohio has turned their season around while Akron continues to slide after a strong start to the season. It's tough to go with the road team in rivalry games, but Ohio is the play here. Ohio has the edge in coaching, momentum, and has a powerful running game. Look for the Bobcats to run their way to victory in this matchup.
Pick: Ohio by 13
Result: Akron 48, Ohio 37 (Loss)
(2.) USC (-3.5) at California
The Trojans own the Bears and this year will be no different. California has played poorly since their thrashing of Tennessee, except the Oregon game. Cal can't seem to put it together and USC is in their heads. The Trojans are slowly getting back to the powerhouse they should be.
Pick: USC by 11
Result: USC 24, Cal 17 (Win)
(3.) Conneticut (+6) at Cincinnati
The Huskies are the real deal and will play the Bearcats tight this week on the road. The Bearcats have been rolling since their upset loss to Pittsburgh. I expect a defensive battle in this one with the spread being inflated.
Pick: Cincinnati by 1
Result: Cincinnati 27, UConn 3 (Loss)
(4.) San Diego St. (+2.5) at UNLV
The Aztecs have been playing well lately and I picked up a win with them last versus Wyoming. UNLV is at home, but hasn't been impressive over their current stretch of games. Look for San Diego St. to continue thier solid play and come away with a big road MWC victory.
Pick: San Diego St by 3
Result: SD ST. 38, UNLV 30 (Win)
(5.) Indiana (-2) at Northwestern
Lewis to Hardy is a lethal combination and Indiana has real opportunity to improve their bowl status with this win. Northwestern has played above expectations this season and has sputtered of late. Indiana is the better team and the play this week even on the road.
Pick: Indiana by 6
Result: NW 31, Indiana 28 (Loss)
(6.) Arkansas (PK) at Tennessee
It's tough to go against the Vols at home, but I really like this Razorback team and think they may be the second or third best team in the SEC. McFadden and Jones are unstoppable and will cause the Vols defense problems all game. This is going to be tight throughout, but I'll take the Razorbacks and their Heisman hopeful.
Pick: Arkansas by 2
Result: Tennessee 34, Arkansas 13 (Loss)
(7.) NC St. (-3.5) v. North Carolina
O'Brien has the Wolfpack playing inspired ball and they will be up for this big rivalry game at home. Coming off big victories over Virginia and Miami I expect the Wolfpack to take care of their crosstown rivals in this ACC showdown.
Pick: NC St. by 9
Result: NC St. 31, UNC 27 (Win)
(Blowout of the Week) M Tennessee (-13.5) v. LA-Lafayette
M Tennessee is probably the second best team in the Sun Belt conference and will take care of Lafayette at home. The Cajuns have struggled on the road this season and their road troubles will continue this week at Flyod Stadium.
Pick: M Tennessee by 27
Result: La-Lafayette 34, M Tenn 24 (Loss)
(Underdog Play of the Week) Wisconsin (+3) v. Michigan
This is a huge game for the Badgers and the home contest the Wisconsin faithful have waited all season for. Camp Randall will be rocking and fire up the disappointing Badgers. Michigan has played very average ball lately and it will finally catch up to them this week.
Pick: Wisconsin by 3
Result: Wisconsin 37, Michigan 21 (Win)
Other Games:
- Colorado over Iowa St. by 1
- B Green over E Mich by 1
- C Mich over W Mich by 8
- SJ St. over N Mex St. by 1
- Air Force over Notre Dame by 8
- VT over Florida St. by 14
- Miami, FL over Virginia by 2
- SMU over Rice by 3
- Alabama over Miss St. by 2
- Kent St. over N Ilinois by 6
- Georgia over Auburn by 3
- Houston over Tulsa by 1
- Kansas St. over Nebraska by 13
- E Carolina over Marshall by 12
- UCF over UAB by 34
- WV over Louisville by 27
- Iowa over Minnesota by 22
- UTEP over Tulane by 7
- Utah over Wyoming by 20
- Kentucky over Vanderbilt by 5
- Kansas over Oklahoma St. by 8
- Rutgers over Army by 14
- Ohio St. over Illinois by 20
- Texas over Texas Tech by 9
- Navy over N Texas by 12
- Florida over S Carolina by 5
- BC over Maryland by 8
- Arizona St. over UCLA by 6
- Missouri over Texas A&M by 24
- Florida ATL over Arkansas St. by 9
- Boise St. over Utah St. by 21
- Oklahoma over Baylor by 43
- Wash St. over Stanford by 12
- LSU over L Tech by 32
- Purdue over Mich St. by 4
- Clemson over WF by 8
- BYU over TCU by 8
- GT over Duke by 15
- S Florida over Syracuse by 17
- Hawaii over Fresno St. by 16
- Penn St. over Temple by 23
- S Miss over Memphis by 16
- N Mexico over Colorado St. by 9
- Oregon St. over Washington by 9
NFL:
(1.) Green Bay (-6) v. Minnesota
The Pack return home off an impressive road trip knocking off the Broncos and Chiefs. The Vikings are coming off a huge victory over the Chargers in Minnesota. The Viking run the ball well and stop the run. However, the Packers stop the run and don't run the ball. Favre will light up the Vikings terrible secondary and the Pack continue their hot streak which dates back to the last month of last season.
Pick: Packers by 13
Result: Packers 34, Vikings 0 (Win)
(2.) Cleveland (+10) at Pittsburgh
This is a huge for the Browns. If the Browns are serious about making a run at the playoffs they need to be in this game. If they get routed by the Steelers again, this team is going nowhere this season. Pittsburgh is extremely difficult at home, but the Browns will show up in this one and the Steelers are coming off a short week.
Pick: Steelers by 6
Result: Steelers 31, Browns 28 (Win)
(3.) Arizona (-1) v. Detroit
The Cardinals play well at home and the Lions still struggle on the road. The Lions have been hot and the Cards have struggled, but I expect things to be different this week. I expect the Cards defense to have a strong showing and the crowd direct the Cards to a big win.
Pick: Cardinals by 6
Result: Cardinals 31, Lions 21 (Win)
(Blowout of the Week) Baltimore (-4) v. Cincinnati
The Ravens were destroyed on Monday night by the hated Steelers. The defense was put in many poor positions early due to turnovers by the offense. The Bengals are horrible and have no leadership at this point. Lewis should be fired at season's end as this team needs to be restructured. The Ravens will take out their frustrations this week on the mentally and physically soft Bengal team.
Pick: Ravens by 11
Result: Bengals 21, Ravens 7 (Loss)
(Upset Special) Jacksonville (+4) at Tennessee
The Jags were upset in week 1 by the Titans and will return the favor this week in Nashville. The Jags need this game to have any hope of making the playoffs as a wildcard. The Jags were humilated in New Orleans last week and will rebound this week against the Titans. I expect both offenses to show up in this one.
Pick: Jaguars by 5
Result: Jaguars 28, Titans 13 (Win)
(Over 35) Jacksonville at Tennessee
This one will have a playoff atmosphere about it. If the Titans sweep the Jags and have a two game lead over them, it's lights out in J-ville. Del Rio and the crew are well aware of this and will bring thier "A" game. A surprising shootout in Tennessee
Result: 41 points -- Jaguars 28, Titans 13 (Win)
(Under 45) Detroit at Arizona
The Cards will stifle the Lions offense and Detroit won't have the luxury of playing in the cozy dome in Detroit. The Lions defense is improved and the Cards offense is unpredictable. I think this one will be well under the 45 mark.
Result: 52 points -- Cardinals 31, Lions 21 (Loss)
Other Games:
- Miami over Buffalo by 7....the Dolphins finally win one
- Denver over KC by 3....no Johnson will doom the Chiefs
- San Diego over Indianapolis by 4...the Chargers are tough at home
- Seattle over SF by 10...Nolan is on the chopping block in SF
- New Orleans over St. Louis by 7...the Rams might hang around awhile
- Atlanta over Carolina by 5...the Falcons pull the upset
- Oakland over Chicago by 3...the Raiders win one for the Black Hole
- Dallas over NY Giants by 4...the Giants play a real time finally
- Philadelphia over Washington...McNabb tries to save his job
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